Parana Riverbank Collapses

As previously reported, Argentina’s Parana River is dealing with water conditions at 50-year lows. To add insult to injury, a bank collapse obstructed the navigation channel, exporters told Reuters. According to Reuters, “Dredgers are working in the Parana to the south of the Rosario complex to try to restore the necessary depth of water for export traffic, but at present have no estimate of when normal operations on the grain’s superhighway can resume.” About 80% of the country’s agricultural exports are shipped from Rosario’s 32 terminals.

Argentina is currently harvesting corn and soybeans and relies on some exports to create storage space. Loading vessels lighter requires more vessels to load the same quantity, which leads to a backlog of shipments. Global buyers will have to fill in for the reduced volume by turning to the U.S. or Brazil. Brazil’s currency devaluations have soybean and gain exports in full swing. On the other hand, the U.S. has plenty of available export capacity until mid-September to ship a few extra vessels. U.S. soybean harvest starts to fill export supply chains in late August and reaches full steam in mid-September as shown below. Although the extra export volume is limited, the increase in sales is welcome, especially this time of year.

Source: USDA
Alan Barrett

Director of Research and Consulting

Higby Barrett LLC

Alan Barrett is the Director of Research and Consulting for HIgby Barrett LLC. He is an accomplished commodity economist with more than 25 years of experience in futures and cash markets with a focus on cotton, commodity projects, non-traditional agricultural products, transportation and supply chain studies. Alan spent six years as a commodity futures broker. His expertise encompasses feasibility studies of oilseed crushing plants (soybean canola, and cottonseed), grain elevators, export elevators, shuttle elevators, grain container operations, flourmills and other processing facilities. Alan also has conducted transportation supply chain studies for grains, oilseeds, fertilizer, coal, natural gas, crude oil, and petroleum products. Alan has considerable experience in non-traditional agricultural products such as coal, coke, natural gas, chemicals, hydraulic fracturing fluid, hydraulic fracturing proppants, glycerin, fertilizer, micronutrients, salt, limestone, cement, iron ore, pig iron, and steel, especially feed ingredients. Mr. Barrett has a BS and MS in Agricultural Economics from the University of Tennessee.